Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 11.376790 13.316296 15.436887 17.921048 20.744446 23.846568 27.505620
2025-07-06 7.738625 10.251178 13.292771 17.214321 22.101397 27.953519 35.449869
2025-07-13 6.339534 9.239797 13.033144 18.283788 25.277129 34.175369 46.241579
2025-07-20 5.370075 8.485878 12.833128 19.210518 28.170397 40.129799 57.080251
2025-07-27 4.553703 7.741687 12.454097 19.729386 30.433687 45.316332 67.209720
2025-08-03 3.831942 6.979954 11.890989 19.837268 32.028124 49.607378 76.333229
2025-08-10 3.160421 6.160367 11.092088 19.438721 32.759982 52.635135 83.785639
2025-08-17 2.606874 5.428948 10.309078 18.929821 33.209742 55.201596 90.651022
2025-08-24 2.148853 4.777076 9.552264 18.343068 33.429407 57.367939 96.980936
2025-08-31 1.741442 4.138396 8.716448 17.498518 33.105083 58.602009 101.879096
2025-09-07 1.557563 3.912192 8.597917 17.892182 34.878811 63.282839 112.472684
2025-09-14 1.391895 3.691871 8.455812 18.215063 36.536280 67.854860 123.129352
2025-09-21 1.162413 3.301408 7.957841 17.882346 37.131173 70.921863 131.928130
2025-09-28 0.932118 2.857430 7.285115 17.137982 36.930251 72.673917 138.774782
2025-10-05 0.871592 2.823125 7.490194 18.196206 40.235078 80.824274 157.135594
2025-10-12 0.807071 2.762678 7.625027 19.117801 43.348528 88.831775 175.718017
2025-10-19 0.725320 2.633622 7.577432 19.634270 45.692382 95.574461 192.433487
2025-10-26 0.632798 2.447921 7.360343 19.741660 47.202052 100.847193 206.781747
2025-11-02 0.530868 2.202713 6.948851 19.344774 47.610200 104.034648 217.460591
2025-11-09 0.440969 1.967414 6.517792 18.838009 47.721200 106.630864 227.156028
2025-11-16 0.363128 1.746536 6.081687 18.253727 47.592723 108.722357 235.982904
2025-11-23 0.290784 1.517785 5.574570 17.412754 46.791092 109.379175 242.045254
2025-11-30 0.262505 1.453222 5.542870 17.804749 48.859051 116.044186 260.233729